Benfica vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.3%
Win probability
4.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.4%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.7%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.6%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
1.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.3%
1.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
SLB
0 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
OLH
2 - 1
SLB
25%
20%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SPB
3 - 4
SLB
17%
18%
66%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SLB
7 - 0
BOA
86%
8%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
OEL
0 - 1
SLB
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 2
SCP
5%
10%
85%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUS
92%
6%
3%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
ATL
3 - 0
LUS
83%
10%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
OLH
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 0
VIT
40%
24%
36%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |