Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
67%
18%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 4
SLB
5%
15%
80%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
FAM
1 - 1
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 1
BOA
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPB
2 - 1
FCP
32%
25%
44%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
FCP
6 - 1
MOR
79%
15%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
TON
1 - 3
FCP
10%
19%
72%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2020 |
FCP
5 - 0
BEL
85%
10%
5%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |