Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
SLB
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PSG
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SPB
2 - 1
SLB
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 1
CSK
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
UDL
0 - 2
FCP
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 1
FCP
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
FCP
2 - 0
VIT
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | +1 |