Benfica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
8.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
35%
27%
39%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
1 - 0
FAB
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
SLB
70%
16%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 2
UFT
80%
13%
8%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
0 - 1
ACA
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
40%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
FCP
2 - 1
VIT
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |