Benfica vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.2%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 0
SLB
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1969 |
AJA
3 - 0
SLB
70%
16%
13%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
SLB
0 - 0
SCP
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1969 |
SLB
1 - 3
AJA
69%
16%
15%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
FAB
0 - 1
FCP
33%
26%
40%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 0
UFT
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
SCP
1 - 1
FAB
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |