Benfica vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEL
0 - 4
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
SLB
8 - 1
VST
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
VOR
2 - 1
SLB
21%
25%
53%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
SLB
4 - 0
VOR
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 2
BAT
25%
28%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 1
DNM
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
LOV
0 - 4
BAT
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
0 - 1
LOV
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
BAT
1 - 0
MIN
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |