Benfica vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
SLB
6 - 0
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 2
MOR
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 0
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
75%
16%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 1
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
ORD
2 - 3
AST
29%
29%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
APO
1 - 1
AST
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
AST
1 - 0
APO
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
AST
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
AST
4 - 3
HJK
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |