Benfica vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
23.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1991 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
SLB
4 - 0
HAM
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 60 | 29 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
TOR
1 - 3
SLB
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
SLB
2 - 2
EST
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
44%
28%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1991 |
ARS
2 - 0
LEI
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
ARS
3 - 2
CHL
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
AUS
1 - 0
ARS
34%
28%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1991 |
SOU
0 - 4
ARS
32%
28%
41%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |