Benfica vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
PEN
0 - 1
SLB
14%
26%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AGF
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
SLB
2 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
CHA
1 - 0
SLB
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
AGF
0 - 0
SLB
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
JEU
1 - 0
AGF
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AGF
4 - 1
JEU
73%
16%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
AGF
0 - 1
KSV
31%
27%
42%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
KSV
5 - 2
AGF
75%
15%
10%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |