Benfica vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
TOU
0 - 2
SLB
5%
15%
81%
|
87 | 38 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
BOA
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LOU
0 - 0
ACA
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
ACA
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ACA
2 - 2
RIO
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |