Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
8º
3º
3
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
EST
2 - 3
BES
36%
24%
40%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
BES
2 - 2
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 3
BES
54%
22%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
BES
1 - 0
FAM
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2025 |
VIZ
3 - 1
BES
40%
24%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2025 |
EST
0 - 4
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
VIZ
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
EST
1 - 3
BES
54%
22%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
EST
4 - 2
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |