Benfica U23 vs CD Santa Clara U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
12º
9º
17
10º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 10 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
BES
2 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
SPO
4 - 0
BES
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
BES
1 - 0
EST
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BES
3 - 4
EST
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
MAF
3 - 1
BES
15%
20%
65%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 4
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
EST
10%
18%
72%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAF
18%
19%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 1
SAN
81%
12%
7%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |