Benfica II vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEN
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 0
FAR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 2
BEN
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAS
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
BEN
11%
20%
69%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
FEI
17%
25%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
ESA
0 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAR
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
LEX
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 0
NAC
20%
24%
56%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |