Benfica II vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
BEN
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
5 - 1
ACV
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
MOR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
1 - 3
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 0
BEN
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
TON
1 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 3
TON
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FAR
0 - 0
TON
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
TON
1 - 2
SCP
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 2
TON
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |