Benferri vs Novelda UCF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benferri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 1
BEN
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 4
POL
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
BEN
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 0
VIJ
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
UEC
0 - 2
BEN
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
NUD
1 - 0
UEC
42%
22%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MUT
0 - 1
NUD
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
NUD
1 - 0
NOV
54%
22%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NUD
2 - 2
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 1
NUD
37%
25%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |