Benevento U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
45
3º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
80.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
69% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 46 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
79.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
79% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
79% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 29 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 28 |
16º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 18% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
REG
0 - 0
BEN
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 0
PER
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
IMC
1 - 0
BEN
37%
23%
40%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BEN
2 - 0
MNP
55%
20%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 1
BEN
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 2
CRO
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LAZ
3 - 2
SPE
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 1
CCS
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SPE
2 - 0
PER
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IMC
1 - 1
SPE
42%
22%
36%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |