Benevento vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 2
BEN
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BEN
4 - 3
USF
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ASA
1 - 1
BEN
13%
23%
64%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAV
2 - 3
BEN
23%
26%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 2
TRI
18%
27%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 0
ACS
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ACR
3 - 2
TRI
28%
28%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |