Benevento vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
BEN
22%
25%
54%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 0
REG
36%
30%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
VIN
0 - 2
BEN
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 2
BEN
28%
26%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
BEN
0 - 0
CAR
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
CSP
4 - 2
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CUO
2 - 1
CSP
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 2
CSP
79%
15%
7%
|
23 | 56 | 33 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
CSP
0 - 2
CAV
16%
22%
62%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
MON
0 - 2
CSP
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 49 | 26 | +1 |