Benevento vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
24.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
PRG
2 - 1
BEN
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
LAZ
5 - 1
BEN
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 2
BEN
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 3
BEN
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
FCC
4 - 3
BEN
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 0
SOR
42%
29%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PES
4 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 2
MAR
58%
25%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
VIR
51%
27%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
VIR
0 - 0
CRO
35%
29%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |