Benevento vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SSS
0 - 4
BEN
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
ASC
45%
30%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ASA
1 - 2
BEN
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
VAL
48%
28%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VIG
1 - 2
BEN
38%
29%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
REA
3 - 2
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
VAL
0 - 0
REA
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
REA
1 - 0
FCC
45%
28%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
USV
2 - 1
REA
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
REA
2 - 1
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |