Benevento vs Progreditur Marcianise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
BEN
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
BEN
4 - 0
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SSC
1 - 2
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 0
VIG
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
VAL
1 - 0
BEN
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Progreditur Marcianise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
REA
0 - 0
ASM
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
VIG
1 - 0
REA
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
REA
3 - 1
FCC
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
REA
53%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
FCI
43%
26%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |