Benevento vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
BEN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
PRG
2 - 1
CRO
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 3
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PRG
3 - 2
PAD
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VER
2 - 1
PRG
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
PRG
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |