Benevento vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
ASM
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
BEN
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
FCC
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
BEN
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
MON
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 0
NUO
16%
24%
60%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MON
0 - 1
PAG
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
0 - 1
AKR
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LCR
2 - 1
PAG
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PAG
1 - 1
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |