Benevento vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PER
1 - 2
BEN
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
11 - 0
PRO
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
USC
1 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
ACL
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
BEN
3 - 1
PES
66%
22%
13%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
2 - 2
ACL
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
14%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
5 - 2
PAG
40%
29%
32%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRO
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |