Benevento vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PON
3 - 1
BEN
11%
21%
68%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
4 - 1
LEC
29%
27%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
BEN
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
PAG
70%
21%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAM
2 - 0
BEN
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 3
FRO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
PIS
5 - 2
NOC
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
NOC
1 - 1
GRO
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
NOC
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
NOC
2 - 2
PRG
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |