Benevento vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
14.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+156%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
POT
1 - 1
BEN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 0
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
USV
1 - 0
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 1
ASA
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ASM
2 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
NOC
0 - 0
VIG
29%
28%
44%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ASA
1 - 0
NOC
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
REA
3 - 1
NOC
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASM
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCI
1 - 0
NOC
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |