Benevento vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
JUS
4 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
FIA
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ASC
3 - 0
BEN
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 2
ANC
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 0
PAL
23%
27%
50%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ASC
5 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOD
28%
25%
48%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |