Benevento vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
PIS
1 - 1
BEN
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 0
TAR
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
0 - 3
NOC
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2010 |
NUO
1 - 2
BEN
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
BEN
3 - 1
TER
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
SAV
0 - 1
ASL
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
CAV
1 - 0
ASL
55%
25%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ASL
1 - 1
PIS
23%
27%
51%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
ASL
2 - 0
ASG
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TAR
2 - 1
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |