Benevento vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 2
BEN
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 1
IMO
83%
13%
5%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 1
TER
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
BEN
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
GEN
20%
27%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GEN
4 - 0
LEC
83%
13%
5%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
FER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
LEC
5 - 0
SFF
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
PAD
39%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
LIV
3 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |