Benevento vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
BEN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 2
ISC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
JUS
0 - 1
BEN
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAG
74%
19%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
LEC
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
0 - 0
AKR
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
3 - 4
LEC
21%
27%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |