Girone B Playoffs Girone B Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Benevento vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 3
BEN
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
3 - 2
FCV
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASC
0 - 3
BEN
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SSB
1 - 6
BEN
14%
23%
64%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 0
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
FRO
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
LEC
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LEC
3 - 0
NOC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 3
LEC
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |