Benevento vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
BEN
2 - 0
REA
58%
25%
18%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
PRO
0 - 0
BEN
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
BEN
4 - 0
COS
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
SSC
1 - 2
BEN
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 0
VIG
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
FCC
2 - 0
GEL
47%
26%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SSC
1 - 0
GEL
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 0
SOR
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
GEL
17%
23%
60%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |