Benevento vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PAG
1 - 1
BEN
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
TAR
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 1
BEN
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 0
PRG
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
BEN
2 - 0
POT
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
CAV
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
REA
3 - 1
CRO
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PIS
70%
19%
10%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PES
0 - 1
CRO
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CRO
1 - 0
USF
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |