Benevento vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
44.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
BEN
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 0
SOR
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
BEN
0 - 2
CHI
46%
26%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
BEN
1 - 2
GIU
34%
29%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SSS
2 - 2
BEN
57%
26%
17%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 0
TAR
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2002 |
PES
2 - 1
CRO
55%
23%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CRO
2 - 3
SSS
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2002 |
FER
2 - 1
CRO
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SAS
0 - 2
CRO
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |