Benevento vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
48.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 2
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
BEN
2 - 2
JUS
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
FIA
1 - 1
BEN
49%
26%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 0
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
CRO
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASC
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
CRO
16%
24%
61%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |