Benevento vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
26.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
BEN
3 - 0
FCC
69%
21%
11%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
NOC
0 - 1
BEN
34%
30%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BEN
2 - 0
POT
47%
27%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
BEN
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
ASA
2 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
2 - 2
FCI
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SOR
2 - 0
FCC
56%
24%
19%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
FCC
0 - 0
USV
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 1
FCC
30%
28%
43%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
FCC
1 - 1
SSC
70%
19%
12%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | +1 |