Benevento vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
15.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.2%
30.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
BEN
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
2 - 0
SOR
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
ACI
22%
27%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 1
BEN
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIR
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
VIS
1 - 0
FCC
34%
32%
34%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
CHI
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
TER
2 - 2
FCC
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2003 |
FCC
2 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |