Benevento vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
42%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
BEN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
PRG
34%
30%
37%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ACD
3 - 2
BEN
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEN
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
NOV
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
CTT
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 0
BRE
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
SPE
28%
29%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 1
CAR
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
0 - 2
SPE
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |