Benevento vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
2 - 1
USC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
LIV
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PES
2 - 1
BEN
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 3
USF
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 1
BEN
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
VER
25%
26%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASC
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
USF
3 - 2
ASC
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASC
0 - 0
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |