Benevento vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
ARZ
1 - 0
BEN
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
BEN
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 1
LEC
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FOL
2 - 0
BEN
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
4 - 2
ACL
25%
28%
47%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
PER
2 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 0
ARZ
17%
25%
58%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
43%
28%
29%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VAR
2 - 0
PRG
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +2 |