Benevento vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FCI
1 - 1
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 2
SOR
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
GEL
0 - 0
BEN
48%
28%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BEN
0 - 0
USV
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
REA
2 - 2
BEN
34%
28%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 0
ASM
45%
26%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
ASM
0 - 1
GEL
25%
25%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MON
1 - 1
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ASM
1 - 0
FCC
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
POT
1 - 0
ASM
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |