Benevento vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 1
BEN
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 1
BEN
25%
25%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
3 - 0
LEC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
BEN
13%
22%
65%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
33%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FCS
2 - 3
CTT
16%
25%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CTT
3 - 3
USC
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
CTT
23%
26%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CTT
3 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
CTT
4 - 4
USF
47%
24%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |