Benevento vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRI
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
BEN
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PIS
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIS
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
0 - 1
PAV
51%
27%
23%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
TER
22%
29%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACL
1 - 2
PAV
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 3
PAV
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |