Benevento vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
35.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
BEN
33%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
BRE
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
CTT
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
TER
0 - 1
BEN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
SPE
28%
30%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
EMP
1 - 2
CES
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CES
3 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |