Beneditense vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
54.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
BEN
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 3
POM
25%
23%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
TOC
0 - 1
BEN
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
1 - 1
PAM
21%
22%
57%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
2 - 2
BEN
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
POM
1 - 1
SOU
47%
23%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
PAM
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 3
SOU
16%
21%
64%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 0
BOM
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GDA
2 - 3
SOU
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |