Beneditense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beneditense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEN
45%
24%
32%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 2
BEN
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BEN
0 - 1
OLI
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GDA
0 - 0
BEN
77%
16%
8%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 1
MOR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 3
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 2
POM
58%
21%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
2 - 0
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |