Ben Hur vs Real Arroyo Seco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 1
BHU
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BHU
1 - 2
9DJ
37%
27%
36%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2008 |
BHU
0 - 2
BUC
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
GIM
5 - 2
BHU
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
BHU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Arroyo Seco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
PAT
1 - 0
RAS
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
RAS
0 - 1
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
RAS
2 - 1
9DJ
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
BUC
5 - 1
RAS
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
RAS
0 - 0
GIM
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |