US Ben Guerdane vs ES Sahel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
7º
5º
34
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
USM
3 - 1
BEN
46%
30%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
5 - 0
TAT
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
CSS
1 - 0
BEN
42%
32%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
BEN
2 - 0
OLY
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 0
BEN
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
ES Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
ETO
2 - 0
CLU
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 0
ESP
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
USM
0 - 1
ETO
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 0
TAT
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CSS
1 - 1
ETO
39%
31%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |