US Ben Guerdane vs ES Métlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 2
USM
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
BEN
31%
31%
39%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 0
CLU
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
STA
1 - 1
BEN
41%
30%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
ETO
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
1 - 0
ETO
41%
29%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2019 |
ETO
1 - 2
ESP
25%
29%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ETO
1 - 0
ETO
28%
28%
44%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
CAB
1 - 1
ETO
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
ETO
1 - 0
TAT
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |