US Ben Guerdane vs EM Mahdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Ben Guerdane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
BEN
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MED
0 - 1
BEN
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 1
BEN
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 0
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
EM Mahdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EMM
0 - 2
ESH
21%
28%
51%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
EMM
1 - 0
ASA
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OUE
1 - 2
EMM
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 1
EMM
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 2
EMM
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |